Euroworkshop on Statistical Modelling -
Model Building and Evaluation
31st October to 3rd November, 2002
Schloß Höhenried, Bernried, near Munich Germany
http://www.stat.uni-muenchen.de/euroworkshop/2002.html
Report
General Information:
The Euroworkshop
on Statistical Modelling was a project fundeded by
the European
Commission ( CORDIS ) in the
programme High
Level Scientific Conferences. The project was also connected to
the International Workshop on
Statistical Modelling. The workshop on Model Building and
Evaluation was the third event in a series of three workshops with the
topics Mixed
Models and Nonparametric
Models. To read more about the entire project please follow
this link.
Coordinator of the project was Göran
Kauermann.
The event was also supported by the
Sonderforschungsbereich
386 at the Institute of Statistics, Ludwig-Maximilians-University
Munich.
Topic:
Generally speaking, every model is plausible as long as it is not falsified. The falsification of models however is the most challenging point in science. This holds in the same for statistical models. To provide valid Statistical Models that fulfil the task of modelling reality, it is of fundamental importance to consider the model building process in more depth and to check and validate fitted models by means of model diagnostics. The workshop intended to consider our "modelling toolbox" critically, rather than considering one particular model critically. This included areas like "Traditional Model Diagnostic Tools", "Graphical Model Diagnostics", "Model validation using smoothing techniques", "Bayesian Models and their validation" as well as "Bootstrapping and its role in model evaluation". Model validation does not only mean to check one particular model at hand (like a typical testing procedure), but also, if not more importantly, to check whether the entire model class being applied is valid. In short the focus was on the question: "Are we modelling the right things with our model and how can we validate and evaluate this"
Keynote Speakers :
Anthony Davison, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Switzerland
Arnoldo Frigessi, Norwegian Computing Center, Norway
Jeffrey Hart, Texas A&M University, USA
Brian Ripley, University of Oxford, UK
Antony Unwin , University of Augsburg, Germany
Location: The workshop took place in Schloß Höhenried, Bernried near Munich, Germany.
List of Participants (click on link)
Programme and Presentations (click on link)
Minutes of Discussionrounds (click on link)
Conference Photo (click on link)
Young Researchers:
1/3 of the participants were young researchers (official definition see below) supported by the European Commission
Organisers:
Göran Kauermann, Coordinator; University of Glasgow, UK
Adrian Bowman, (Guest Organiser); University of Glasgow, UK
Herwig Friedl, Technische Universität Graz, Austria
John Hinde, National University of Ireland, Galway IRE
Emmanuel Lesaffre, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium
Official Definition for Young Researchers: Young Researchers are researchers up to an age limit of 35 years at the time of a particular conference event. Allowance will be made for compulsory military or civil service and childcare. Grants can only be provided to citizens of a EU membership country respectively for citizens from Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Rep., Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, Israel and Switzerland.
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